Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000725 0.000767 0.000809 0.000855 0.000905 0.000956 0.001014
2025-09-07 0.000653 0.000712 0.000774 0.000845 0.000923 0.001008 0.001106
2025-09-14 0.000603 0.000673 0.000750 0.000839 0.000942 0.001057 0.001194
2025-09-21 0.000561 0.000638 0.000725 0.000830 0.000953 0.001094 0.001269
2025-09-28 0.000525 0.000608 0.000703 0.000820 0.000961 0.001125 0.001334
2025-10-05 0.000489 0.000575 0.000674 0.000799 0.000953 0.001136 0.001375
2025-10-12 0.000465 0.000554 0.000659 0.000793 0.000961 0.001166 0.001437
2025-10-19 0.000444 0.000535 0.000645 0.000787 0.000968 0.001193 0.001497
2025-10-26 0.000431 0.000526 0.000642 0.000794 0.000990 0.001239 0.001583
2025-11-02 0.000412 0.000508 0.000626 0.000784 0.000991 0.001258 0.001631
2025-11-09 0.000392 0.000488 0.000608 0.000769 0.000984 0.001264 0.001664
2025-11-16 0.000375 0.000472 0.000593 0.000758 0.000981 0.001276 0.001704
2025-11-23 0.000363 0.000461 0.000586 0.000758 0.000994 0.001312 0.001780
2025-11-30 0.000348 0.000447 0.000573 0.000750 0.000996 0.001332 0.001837
2025-12-07 0.000336 0.000435 0.000564 0.000746 0.001004 0.001360 0.001905
2025-12-14 0.000323 0.000422 0.000552 0.000739 0.001005 0.001379 0.001961
2025-12-21 0.000311 0.000409 0.000540 0.000730 0.001004 0.001395 0.002012
2025-12-28 0.000297 0.000393 0.000522 0.000712 0.000989 0.001389 0.002030
2026-01-04 0.000287 0.000383 0.000513 0.000706 0.000992 0.001409 0.002088
2026-01-11 0.000278 0.000374 0.000505 0.000701 0.000995 0.001430 0.002148
2026-01-18 0.000273 0.000370 0.000504 0.000707 0.001014 0.001475 0.002248
2026-01-25 0.000264 0.000360 0.000494 0.000699 0.001011 0.001487 0.002295
2026-02-01 0.000254 0.000349 0.000482 0.000686 0.001001 0.001485 0.002320